A Nobel Prize winning physicist says Elon Musk and Bill Gates are right about the future, with far more free time but fewer traditional jobs

On a dull Tuesday morning inside a quiet Geneva café, an elderly man in a worn blazer sketches the future on a napkin. Gerard ’t Hooft, a Nobel Prize–winning physicist, calmly tells a small circle of students that figures like Elon Musk and Bill Gates may be right. Machines, he explains, are poised to do so much that human work will sharply decline, and the familiar idea of a lifelong job will begin to fall apart.

Elon Musk and Bill Gates
Elon Musk and Bill Gates

Outside, office workers hurry past with coffee cups and phones pressed to their ears. Inside, ’t Hooft draws simple lines to show how technological revolutions rarely stop where society expects. Even the barista pauses between orders, listening as the implications sink in.

The Unusual Promise of Working Less

Unlike Silicon Valley founders, ’t Hooft is not promoting technology; he has spent decades decoding the laws of the universe. Yet his conclusions about AI and automation echo those of Musk and Gates. Many existing jobs, he suggests, will disappear, while free time expands dramatically. He presents this future without alarm, as if describing a shift already underway.

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To him, this is not fantasy but a correction driven by history. Human labor has always been temporary. What is different now is the speed at which it is being replaced.

Automation Is Already Reshaping Work

Evidence continues to mount. A 2023 Goldman Sachs report estimated that AI could automate the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs worldwide. Executives at Microsoft and OpenAI openly describe digital “copilots” that draft emails, write code, summarize meetings, and generate marketing plans.

Across Germany and China, robots already run overnight factory shifts. AI-powered systems manage first-line customer support from Manila to Mexico City. In Japan, hotels tested robotic receptionists and quietly kept some, despite early technical problems.

On the surface, these changes increase productivity and reduce costs. Beneath that lies a deeper signal: less human labor is required. Markets, ’t Hooft notes, do not protect jobs out of kindness. When machines are cheaper, safer, and more reliable, replacement becomes inevitable. The transition starts gradually, then accelerates.

Why This Time Feels Different

History offers parallels. Agriculture gave way to industry, industry to services. Each shift destroyed jobs and created new ones. The difference today lies in scale and velocity. AI does not only replace physical effort; it reaches into thinking, planning, and decision-making. As a result, few workers now believe their roles are completely secure.

When Jobs No Longer Define Life

If the outlook shared by Musk, Gates, and ’t Hooft proves accurate, clinging to the old model of one job shaping an entire identity will feel outdated, like relying on a landline in a 5G world. A practical response becomes essential: build life as if jobs are temporary, while skills and curiosity endure.

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This does not require immediate resignation. It means setting aside small, regular time to experiment—learning a new tool, starting a modest project, or testing a side income. Preparation shifts away from pleasing a single employer and toward adapting to a new rhythm of work and time.

The Challenge of Abundant Free Time

The idea of fewer traditional jobs often sparks fear, yet ’t Hooft highlights a quieter reality: more free time than most people know how to manage. Many imagine long weekends as freedom, only to feel restless when they arrive. Without intention, free time can turn into aimless scrolling and low-grade anxiety.

The same risk applies to a low-work future. Time becomes a gift only when used deliberately, even in small ways.

Culturally, this shift matters as much as economics. Musk speaks of universal basic income. Gates imagines “time dividends” from automation. ’t Hooft poses a simpler question: what do you do with your days when survival no longer demands most of your hours?

Three Practical Levers for a Low-Work Future

  • Develop human skills: empathy, deep craftsmanship, and original creativity that machines struggle to copy.
  • Diversify income: rely on several small projects rather than a single salary.
  • Redefine free time: treat it as space to cultivate purpose, not a void to fear.

From Anxiety to Experimentation

The shared outlook of a Nobel physicist, a software leader, and a space entrepreneur points less to optimism and more to inevitability. AI will improve, robots will become cheaper, and routine work will continue to fade.

The real personal question is no longer whether jobs will change, but who we become when they do. No executive or policy can answer that fully. The shift begins quietly, when individuals accept that the next twenty years will not resemble the last.

Key Takeaways for Readers

  • Jobs will contract while free time grows: automation reduces demand for traditional roles, helping readers anticipate lifestyle changes rather than being caught off guard.
  • Identity must move beyond job titles: future stability rests on skills, projects, and networks that cannot be automated.
  • Experimentation beats prediction: small, consistent tests of new skills or side projects offer practical preparation instead of abstract fear.
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